Decision-making under uncertainty
The ability to make timely commitments despite incomplete information and ambiguous signals.
🎯 What it enables​
It balances speed with discipline so the organisation acts before the window closes.
🧠How to build it​
- Define decision thresholds and pre-agreed triggers before pressure hits.
- Use small probes to reduce uncertainty before larger commitments.
- Document reversible versus irreversible decisions and act accordingly.
📰 Related blog posts​
- Winning AI Leadership Cycles with the OODA Loop — Accelerates observation, orientation, and action under ambiguity.
- Navigating AI Leadership with Cynefin — Matches decisions to the complexity of the situation.
- Meta-Rationality for Wardley Leaders — Stresses switching models when the environment shifts.