Panarchy, Adaptive Cycles, and Wardley Climatic Patterns
· 5 min read
In our last post, we explored how the NK model helps us understand the rugged landscapes of innovation and the challenges of navigating complex, interconnected systems. But how do these landscapes change over time, and how can we anticipate and adapt to the inevitable cycles of growth, collapse, and renewal?
Wardley Mapping tells us which way the river of evolution flows; Panarchy—the ecological model of nested adaptive cycles—shows how each boat gains, loses, and renews its resilience along the way. Pairing the two reveals why some organisations ride climatic currents toward new value while others sink under their own rigidity.